The main part of the paper includes: estimates of the number of competitive national agricultural holdings, analysis of their situation at the background of similar holdings in some selected European Union countries, and analysis of production costs and profitability for selected products in 2005-2012. This was used as a basis to project a change in the number of competitive national agricultural holdings in a 2020 perspective, and the futurological literature – to develop a vision of evolution of the phenomenon in the next two decades.